Turkey vs Bulgaria Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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World

World Cup 2026 Timsah Arena

Scoring Trends

Turkey

Bulgaria

2.5

Goals Scored

0.5

1.5

Goals Conceded

3.25

2.88 Expected Goals (xG) 1.00

88%

Over 1.5

100%

75%

Over 2.5

88%

50%

Over 3.5

50%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Turkey enter this game as clear favorites to control the proceedings. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. Given Turkey's consistency at home, backing their victory is logical. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win59%

Draw18%

Away Win23%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score52%

Over 1.5 Goals77%

Over 2.5 Goals60%

Match Events

18'

Calhanoglu H.

(Penalty)

20'

Bardakci A.

40'

Guler A.

Previous Encounters

15 Nov 25 WOR

Turkey ✓

2:0

Bulgaria

11 Oct 25 WOR

Bulgaria

1:6

✓ Turkey

08 Jun 15 FRI

Turkey ✓

4:0

Bulgaria

29 May 12 FRI

Bulgaria

0:2

✓ Turkey

17 Aug 05 FRI

Bulgaria ✓

3:1

Turkey

Recent Form (Last 5)

Turkey

Home Team

26 Mar

Turkey

1 : 0

Romania

18 Nov

Spain

2 : 2

Turkey

15 Nov

Turkey

2 : 0

Bulgaria

14 Oct

Turkey

4 : 1

Georgia

11 Oct

Bulgaria

1 : 6

Turkey

Bulgaria

Away Team

27 Mar

Solomon Islands

2 : 10

Bulgaria

18 Nov

Bulgaria

2 : 1

Georgia

15 Nov

Turkey

2 : 0

Bulgaria

14 Oct

Spain

4 : 0

Bulgaria

11 Oct

Bulgaria

1 : 6

Turkey

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0

Match Preview: Turkey vs Bulgaria

Fans of World Cup 2026 turn their attention to the clash involving Turkey and Bulgaria. Scheduled for Saturday, November 15, 2025 at 17:00 UTC, the match will take place at Timsah Arena. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Turkey and Bulgaria are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Turkey will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Bulgaria aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Turkey and Bulgaria are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Turkey will try to assert dominance early, whereas Bulgaria might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in World Cup 2026, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.