Stenhousemuir vs Morton Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Scotland

Scottish Cup Ochilview Park

Scoring Trends

Stenhousemuir

Morton

Goals Scored

1.13

Goals Conceded

1.38

1.19 Expected Goals (xG) 1.13

63%

Over 1.5

75%

25%

Over 2.5

50%

25%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Stenhousemuir hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win49%

Draw21%

Away Win30%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score40%

Over 1.5 Goals71%

Over 2.5 Goals43%

Match Events

27'

Blues C.

34'

Bilham K.

38'

Sub

Grant L. In: Anderson M.

Out: Grant L.

Previous Encounters

17 Jan 26 SCO

Stenhousemuir ✓

4:0

Morton

15 Jul 25 LEA

Morton ✓

3:0

Stenhousemuir

28 Jun 22 CLU

Stenhousemuir

0:1

✓ Morton

21 Jul 18 LEA

Morton ✓

2:0

Stenhousemuir

01 Jul 17 CLU

Stenhousemuir

0:3

✓ Morton

Recent Form (Last 5)

Stenhousemuir

Home Team

21 Mar

Stenhousemuir

2 : 0

Kelty Hearts

14 Mar

Peterhead

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

07 Mar

Queen of South

1 : 1

Stenhousemuir

03 Mar

Hamilton

0 : 1

Stenhousemuir

28 Feb

Stenhousemuir

1 : 0

Cove Rangers

Morton

Away Team

21 Mar

Ayr

0 : 1

Morton

13 Mar

Morton

1 : 2

Partick

07 Mar

Morton

0 : 2

St Johnstone

28 Feb

Airdrieonians

3 : 1

Morton

21 Feb

Queen's Park

3 : 2

Morton

League Standings

League table data unavailable.

Match Preview: Stenhousemuir vs Morton

Stenhousemuir welcomes Morton for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Scottish Cup. Scheduled for Saturday, January 17, 2026 at 15:00 UTC, the match will take place at Ochilview Park. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Stenhousemuir and Morton are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Stenhousemuir will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Morton aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Stenhousemuir will try to assert dominance early, whereas Morton might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Stenhousemuir or Morton. Momentum is crucial in Scottish Cup, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.