QPR vs Derby Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

England

Championship Loftus Road

Scoring Trends

QPR

Derby

1.5

Goals Scored

1.13

1.38

Goals Conceded

0.88

1.19 Expected Goals (xG) 1.25

75%

Over 1.5

50%

Over 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between QPR and Derby appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. Considering both teams' scoring consistency, goals on both ends seem highly likely. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win42%

Draw15%

Away Win43%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score59%

Over 1.5 Goals78%

Over 2.5 Goals59%

Match Events

No Data

No live events recorded yet.

Previous Encounters

25 Oct 25 CHA

Derby ✓

1:0

QPR

14 Feb 25 CHA

QPR ✓

4:0

Derby

05 Oct 24 CHA

Derby ✓

2:0

QPR

18 Apr 22 CHA

QPR ✓

1:0

Derby

29 Nov 21 CHA

Derby

1:2

✓ QPR

Recent Form (Last 5)

QPR

Home Team

11 Apr

QPR

0 : 0

Bristol City

06 Apr

Preston

1 : 1

QPR

03 Apr

QPR

2 : 1

Watford

21 Mar

QPR

6 : 1

Portsmouth

14 Mar

Leicester

1 : 3

QPR

Derby

Away Team

11 Apr

Southampton

2 : 1

Derby

06 Apr

Derby

2 : 0

Stoke City

03 Apr

Coventry

3 : 2

Derby

21 Mar

Derby

1 : 0

Birmingham

16 Mar

Portsmouth

0 : 1

Derby

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Coventry	43	25	11	7	85:43	86
2	Ipswich	41	21	12	8	71:42	75
3	Millwall	42	21	10	11	56:47	73
4	Southampton	42	20	12	10	73:50	72
5	Middlesbrough	42	20	12	10	62:42	72
6	Hull City	42	20	8	14	64:60	68
7	Wrexham	42	17	13	12	63:60	64
8	Derby	42	18	9	15	61:53	63
9	Norwich	42	17	7	18	55:50	58
10	Bristol City	42	16	10	16	52:51	58
11	QPR	42	16	10	16	58:63	58
12	Watford	42	14	15	13	52:51	57
13	Preston	42	14	15	13	50:53	57
14	Swansea	42	16	9	17	50:54	57
15	Birmingham	42	15	11	16	51:52	56
16	Stoke City	42	15	10	17	49:46	55
17	Sheffield Utd	42	16	6	20	59:59	54
18	Charlton	42	12	13	17	39:51	49
19	Blackburn	44	12	13	19	39:54	49
20	Portsmouth	42	12	12	18	43:57	48
21	West Brom	42	11	13	18	42:56	46
22	Oxford Utd	42	10	14	18	41:54	44
23	Leicester	42	11	14	17	54:64	41
24	Sheffield Wed	42	1	11	30	25:82	-4

Match Preview: QPR vs Derby

Fans of Championship turn their attention to the clash involving QPR and Derby. Scheduled for Saturday, April 25, 2026 at 14:00 UTC, the match will take place at Loftus Road. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both QPR and Derby are focused on their respective objectives for the season. QPR will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Derby aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. QPR will try to assert dominance early, whereas Derby might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either QPR or Derby. Momentum is crucial in Championship, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.