Pasaia vs Derio Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Spain

Tercera RFEF - Group 4

Scoring Trends

Pasaia

Derio

1.13

Goals Scored

2.25

1.25

Goals Conceded

0.75

0.94 Expected Goals (xG) 1.75

88%

Over 1.5

88%

38%

Over 2.5

75%

25%

Over 3.5

38%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Derio hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win31%

Draw22%

Away Win47%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score43%

Over 1.5 Goals66%

Over 2.5 Goals43%

Match Events

Learte I.

71'

Egileor

85'

Fernandez A.

Previous Encounters

14 Feb 26 TER

Pasaia

0:4

✓ Derio

05 Oct 25 TER

Derio

0:1

✓ Pasaia

12 Apr 25 TER

Derio ✓

3:1

Pasaia

30 Nov 24 TER

Pasaia

2:2

Derio

27 Mar 24 TER

Derio ✓

1:0

Pasaia

Recent Form (Last 5)

Pasaia

Home Team

19 Mar

Zarautz KE

0 : 3

Pasaia

14 Mar

Pasaia

1 : 1

Lagun Onak

07 Mar

SD Deusto

0 : 3

Pasaia

28 Feb

Pasaia

1 : 1

Portugalete

22 Feb

San Ignacio

0 : 2

Pasaia

Derio

Away Team

19 Mar

Derio

4 : 0

SCD Durango

15 Mar

UD Aretxabaleta

1 : 2

Derio

08 Mar

Derio

2 : 1

Zamudio

01 Mar

Santurtzi

1 : 1

Derio

22 Feb

Derio

3 : 1

Real Sociedad C

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugalete	27	21	4	2	58:17	67
2	Leioa	27	16	4	7	40:25	52
3	Touring KE	27	13	8	6	36:26	47
4	Lagun Onak	27	14	4	9	41:26	46
5	Derio	27	14	4	9	45:31	46
6	Aurrera de Vitoria	27	14	4	9	35:31	46
7	Alaves C	27	12	6	9	44:31	42
8	San Ignacio	27	12	6	9	27:20	42
9	UD Aretxabaleta	27	11	5	11	44:44	38
10	SCD Durango	27	9	9	9	29:28	36
11	Real Sociedad C	27	11	3	13	29:35	36
12	Santurtzi	27	7	10	10	27:35	31
13	Pasaia	27	8	7	12	20:32	28
14	Eibar C	27	7	6	14	30:43	27
15	Anorga	27	8	3	16	26:49	27
16	Zamudio	27	7	5	15	28:43	26
17	Zarautz KE	27	6	4	17	22:50	22
18	SD Deusto	27	4	6	17	18:33	21

Match Preview: Pasaia vs Derio

Fans of Tercera RFEF - Group 4 turn their attention to the clash involving Pasaia and Derio. Scheduled for Saturday, February 14, 2026 at 15:30 UTC, the match will take place at the stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Pasaia will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Derio aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Pasaia and Derio are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Pasaia will try to assert dominance early, whereas Derio might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Tercera RFEF - Group 4, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.