Madagascar vs Gambia Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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Africa

Africa Cup of Nations 2025 Mahamasina Municipal Stadium

Scoring Trends

Madagascar

Gambia

1.88

Goals Scored

2.83

Goals Conceded

1.17

1.52 Expected Goals (xG) 1.92

88%

Over 1.5

83%

63%

Over 2.5

67%

25%

Over 3.5

67%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Madagascar and Gambia appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

With no recent competitive history, this is a fresh tactical challenge for both. With teams so evenly matched, the draw offers significant statistical value. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win40%

Draw22%

Away Win38%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score55%

Over 1.5 Goals73%

Over 2.5 Goals50%

Match Events

25'

Raveloson R.

45'

Couturier C.

46'

Sub

Badamosi M. In: Ceesay A.

Out: Badamosi M.

Previous Encounters

14 Oct 24 AFR

Gambia ✓

1:0

Madagascar

11 Oct 24 AFR

Madagascar

1:1

Gambia

Recent Form (Last 5)

Madagascar

Home Team

17 Nov

Madagascar

2 : 0

Equatorial Guinea

12 Oct

Mali

4 : 1

Madagascar

08 Oct

Comoros

1 : 2

Madagascar

08 Sept

Madagascar

3 : 1

Chad

04 Sept

Madagascar

2 : 0

Central Africa

Gambia

Away Team

18 Nov

Kuwait

2 : 2

Gambia

14 Oct

Seychelles

0 : 7

Gambia

10 Oct

Gambia

3 : 4

Gabon

09 Sept

Gambia

2 : 0

Burundi

05 Sept

Kenya

1 : 3

Gambia

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Comoros	6	3	3	0	7:4	12
2	Tunisia	6	3	1	2	7:6	10
3	Gambia	6	2	2	2	6:6	8
4	Madagascar	6	0	2	4	4:8	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Morocco	6	6	0	0	26:2	18
2	Gabon	6	3	1	2	7:9	10
3	Lesotho	6	1	1	4	2:13	4
4	Central Africa	6	1	0	5	3:14	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Egypt	6	4	2	0	12:2	14
2	Botswana	6	2	2	2	4:7	8
3	Mauritania	6	2	1	3	3:6	7
4	Cape Verde	6	1	1	4	3:7	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Nigeria	6	3	2	1	9:3	11
2	Benin	6	2	2	2	7:7	8
3	Rwanda	6	2	2	2	5:7	8
4	Libya	6	1	2	3	3:7	5

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Algeria	6	5	1	0	16:2	16
2	Equatorial Guinea	6	2	2	2	5:8	8
3	Togo	6	1	2	3	7:10	5
4	Liberia	6	1	1	4	4:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Angola	6	4	2	0	7:2	14
2	Sudan	6	2	2	2	4:6	8
3	Niger	6	2	1	3	7:6	7
4	Ghana	6	0	3	3	3:7	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Zambia	6	4	1	1	7:4	13
2	Ivory Coast	6	4	0	2	12:3	12
3	Sierra Leone	6	1	2	3	5:10	5
4	Chad	6	0	3	3	1:8	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	D.R. Congo	6	4	0	2	7:3	12
2	Tanzania	6	3	1	2	5:4	10
3	Guinea	6	3	0	3	9:5	9
4	Ethiopia	6	1	1	4	3:12	4

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Mali	6	4	2	0	10:1	14
2	Mozambique	6	3	2	1	9:5	11
3	Guinea Bissau	6	1	2	3	4:6	5
4	Eswatini	6	0	2	4	2:13	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Cameroon	6	4	2	0	8:2	14
2	Zimbabwe	6	2	3	1	6:4	9
3	Kenya	6	1	3	2	4:7	6
4	Namibia	6	0	2	4	2:7	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	South Africa	6	4	2	0	16:5	14
2	Uganda	6	4	1	1	8:5	13
3	Congo	6	1	1	4	4:12	4
4	South Sudan	6	1	0	5	6:12	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Senegal	6	5	1	0	10:1	16
2	Burkina Faso	6	3	1	2	10:7	10
3	Burundi	6	1	1	4	4:11	4
4	Malawi	6	1	1	4	6:11	4

Match Preview: Madagascar vs Gambia

Fans of Africa Cup of Nations 2025 turn their attention to the clash involving Madagascar and Gambia. Scheduled for Friday, October 11, 2024 at 14:00 UTC, the match will take place at Mahamasina Municipal Stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Madagascar will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Gambia aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Madagascar will try to assert dominance early, whereas Gambia might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in Africa Cup of Nations 2025, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.