Luxembourg vs Germany Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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World

World Cup 2026 Stade de Luxembourg

Scoring Trends

Luxembourg

Germany

0.25

Goals Scored

2.13

Goals Conceded

0.88

0.56 Expected Goals (xG) 2.06

63%

Over 1.5

88%

38%

Over 2.5

50%

38%

Over 3.5

38%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Germany enter this game as clear favorites to control the proceedings. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win26%

Draw15%

Away Win59%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score38%

Over 1.5 Goals80%

Over 2.5 Goals50%

Match Events

31'

Goretzka L.

40'

Bohnert F.

46'

Sub

Bohnert F. In: Martins M.

Out: Bohnert F.

Previous Encounters

14 Nov 25 WOR

Luxembourg

0:2

✓ Germany

10 Oct 25 WOR

Germany ✓

4:0

Luxembourg

27 May 06 FRI

Germany ✓

7:0

Luxembourg

18 Dec 91 EUR

Germany ✓

4:0

Luxembourg

31 Oct 90 EUR

Luxembourg

2:3

✓ Germany

Recent Form (Last 5)

Luxembourg

Home Team

31 Mar

Luxembourg

3 : 0

Malta

26 Mar

Malta

0 : 2

Luxembourg

17 Nov

Northern Ireland

1 : 0

Luxembourg

14 Nov

Luxembourg

0 : 2

Germany

13 Oct

Slovakia

2 : 0

Luxembourg

Germany

Away Team

30 Mar

Germany

2 : 1

Ghana

27 Mar

Switzerland

3 : 4

Germany

17 Nov

Germany

6 : 0

Slovakia

14 Nov

Luxembourg

0 : 2

Germany

13 Oct

Northern Ireland

0 : 1

Germany

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0

Match Preview: Luxembourg vs Germany

The upcoming fixture between Luxembourg and Germany promises to be an engaging encounter in World Cup 2026. Scheduled for Friday, November 14, 2025 at 19:45 UTC, the match will take place at Stade de Luxembourg. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Luxembourg and Germany are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Luxembourg will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Germany aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Luxembourg and Germany are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Luxembourg will try to assert dominance early, whereas Germany might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Luxembourg or Germany. Momentum is crucial in World Cup 2026, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.