Hawassa vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Ethiopia

Premier League

Scoring Trends

Hawassa

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

1.25

Goals Scored

0.63

Goals Conceded

0.5

0.88 Expected Goals (xG) 0.81

75%

Over 1.5

38%

25%

Over 2.5

13%

Over 3.5

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Hawassa hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. Defensive discipline will likely be the priority for both managers.

With no recent competitive history, this is a fresh tactical challenge for both. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win42%

Draw29%

Away Win29%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score36%

Over 1.5 Goals58%

Over 2.5 Goals26%

Match Events

12'

Bekele S.

79'

Hefamo T.

Previous Encounters

21 Jan 26 PRE

Hawassa ✓

2:0

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

Recent Form (Last 5)

Hawassa

Home Team

14 Mar

Ethiopia Nigd Bank

4 : 2

Hawassa

10 Mar

Hawassa

1 : 0

Mekelle 70 Enderta FC

04 Mar

Welayta Dicha

1 : 1

Hawassa

28 Feb

Hawassa

1 : 2

Sidama Bunna

22 Feb

Hawassa

1 : 1

Dire Dawa

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

Away Team

15 Mar

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

0 : 2

Ethio Electric S.C.

09 Mar

Bahir Dar Kenema

0 : 0

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

03 Mar

St. Georges

0 : 0

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

26 Feb

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

0 : 1

Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)

22 Feb

Arba Menche

1 : 1

Negele Arsi Ketema FC

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Sidama Bunna	24	12	9	3	30:14	45
2	Hawassa	24	11	7	6	28:18	40
3	Negele Arsi Ketema FC	24	10	8	6	22:16	38
4	Ethio Electric S.C.	25	9	11	5	19:13	38
5	Mechal SC	24	9	9	6	29:19	36
6	Fasil Kenema	24	8	11	5	17:15	35
7	Adama City	24	7	12	5	22:23	33
8	Bahir Dar Kenema	25	6	14	5	17:17	32
9	Ethiopia Bunna (Ethiopian Coffee)	23	9	5	9	23:24	32
10	Ethiopia Nigd Bank	24	7	9	8	32:32	30
11	Sheger Ketema FC	24	6	12	6	21:21	30
12	Hadiya Hossana	24	7	8	9	20:25	29
13	Ethiopian Insurance	24	6	10	8	19:18	28
14	Welwalo Adigrat	24	6	10	8	17:23	28
15	Dire Dawa	24	6	10	8	17:25	28
16	Welayta Dicha	24	5	12	7	26:26	27
17	Shire Endaselassie	24	6	9	9	16:19	27
18	St. Georges	23	6	7	10	16:20	25
19	Mekelle 70 Enderta FC	24	4	11	9	15:25	23
20	Arba Menche	24	3	10	11	16:29	19

Match Preview: Hawassa vs Negele Arsi Ketema FC

The upcoming fixture between Hawassa and Negele Arsi Ketema FC promises to be an engaging encounter in Premier League. Scheduled for Wednesday, January 21, 2026 at 15:00 UTC, the match will take place at the stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Hawassa and Negele Arsi Ketema FC are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Hawassa will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Negele Arsi Ketema FC aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Hawassa will try to assert dominance early, whereas Negele Arsi Ketema FC might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Hawassa or Negele Arsi Ketema FC. Momentum is crucial in Premier League, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.