England vs Latvia Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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World

World Cup 2026 Wembley Stadium

Scoring Trends

England

Latvia

2.75

Goals Scored

0.38

Goals Conceded

1.63

2.19 Expected Goals (xG) 0.38

88%

Over 1.5

50%

63%

Over 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

England enter this game as clear favorites to control the proceedings. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

With no recent competitive history, this is a fresh tactical challenge for both. Given England's consistency at home, backing their victory is logical. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win66%

Draw20%

Away Win14%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score34%

Over 1.5 Goals78%

Over 2.5 Goals48%

Match Events

38'

James R.

42'

Bellingham J.

54'

Sub

Savalnieks R. In: Jagodinskis V.

Out: Savalnieks R.

Previous Encounters

14 Oct 25 WOR

Latvia

0:5

✓ England

24 Mar 25 WOR

England ✓

3:0

Latvia

Recent Form (Last 5)

England

Home Team

16 Nov

Albania

0 : 2

England

13 Nov

England

2 : 0

Serbia

14 Oct

Latvia

0 : 5

England

09 Oct

England

3 : 0

Wales

09 Sept

Serbia

0 : 5

England

Latvia

Away Team

16 Nov

Serbia

2 : 1

Latvia

13 Nov

North Macedonia

0 : 0

Latvia

14 Oct

Latvia

0 : 5

England

11 Oct

Latvia

2 : 2

Andorra

09 Sept

Albania

1 : 0

Latvia

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0

Match Preview: England vs Latvia

Fans of World Cup 2026 turn their attention to the clash involving England and Latvia. Scheduled for Monday, March 24, 2025 at 19:45 UTC, the match will take place at Wembley Stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both England and Latvia are focused on their respective objectives for the season. England will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Latvia aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between England and Latvia are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. England will try to assert dominance early, whereas Latvia might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in World Cup 2026, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.