Empoli vs Bari Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Italy

Serie B Stadio Carlo Castellani

Scoring Trends

Empoli

Bari

1.25

Goals Scored

1.38

1.75

Goals Conceded

1.38

1.31 Expected Goals (xG) 1.56

88%

Over 1.5

88%

63%

Over 2.5

63%

38%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

This clash between Empoli and Bari appears balanced with little difference between the two sides. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win42%

Draw23%

Away Win35%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score57%

Over 1.5 Goals80%

Over 2.5 Goals57%

Match Events

24'

Dickmann L.

39'

Vicari F.

45'

Guarino G.

Assist: Degli Innocenti D.

Previous Encounters

04 Mar 26 SER

Bari ✓

2:1

Empoli

29 Nov 25 SER

Empoli ✓

5:0

Bari

27 Jan 18 SER

Bari

0:4

✓ Empoli

03 Sept 17 SER

Empoli ✓

3:2

Bari

06 Apr 14 SER

Bari ✓

3:0

Empoli

Recent Form (Last 5)

Empoli

Home Team

22 Mar

Empoli

4 : 2

Pescara

17 Mar

Spezia

1 : 1

Empoli

14 Mar

Empoli

2 : 2

Mantova

08 Mar

Catanzaro

3 : 2

Empoli

04 Mar

Bari

2 : 1

Empoli

Bari

Away Team

22 Mar

Bari

0 : 3

Carrarese

18 Mar

Frosinone

2 : 1

Bari

14 Mar

Bari

4 : 1

Reggiana

08 Mar

Pescara

4 : 0

Bari

04 Mar

Bari

2 : 1

Empoli

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Venezia	32	20	8	4	64:27	68
2	Frosinone	32	18	11	3	62:32	65
3	Monza	32	19	8	5	50:26	65
4	Palermo	32	17	10	5	52:27	61
5	Catanzaro	31	14	10	7	49:38	52
6	Modena	31	14	8	9	42:25	50
7	Juve Stabia	32	10	15	7	38:38	45
8	Cesena	32	12	7	13	41:47	43
9	Carrarese	32	9	12	11	41:42	39
10	Avellino	32	10	9	13	37:51	39
11	Sudtirol	32	8	14	10	34:35	38
12	Empoli	32	8	12	12	43:47	36
13	Padova	32	8	10	14	32:43	34
14	Mantova	32	9	7	16	36:48	34
15	Sampdoria	32	8	10	14	31:43	34
16	Entella	32	8	10	14	31:45	34
17	Bari	32	7	10	15	30:50	31
18	Spezia	32	7	9	16	31:46	30
19	Reggiana	32	7	9	16	30:49	30
20	Pescara	32	6	11	15	43:58	29

Match Preview: Empoli vs Bari

Fans of Serie B turn their attention to the clash involving Empoli and Bari. Scheduled for Saturday, November 29, 2025 at 14:00 UTC, the match will take place at Stadio Carlo Castellani. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Empoli will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Bari aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Empoli will try to assert dominance early, whereas Bari might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Empoli or Bari. Momentum is crucial in Serie B, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.