Dep. Merlo vs Excursionistas Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Argentina

Primera B Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium

Scoring Trends

Dep. Merlo

Excursionistas

1.13

Goals Scored

1.13

Goals Conceded

1.13

1.13 Expected Goals (xG) 1.06

63%

Over 1.5

63%

50%

Over 2.5

38%

Over 3.5

25%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Excursionistas hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The data points towards a tight game, making 'Under' markets particularly attractive. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win33%

Draw18%

Away Win49%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score53%

Over 1.5 Goals63%

Over 2.5 Goals48%

Match Events

Blanco M.

11'

Vallejo L.

29'

Da Rosa J. E.

Previous Encounters

15 Feb 26 PRI

Dep. Merlo

1:2

✓ Excursionistas

06 Sept 25 PRI

Excursionistas ✓

3:1

Dep. Merlo

20 Apr 25 PRI

Dep. Merlo ✓

3:2

Excursionistas

14 Sept 24 PRI

Dep. Merlo ✓

2:1

Excursionistas

27 Apr 24 PRI

Excursionistas ✓

3:1

Dep. Merlo

Recent Form (Last 5)

Dep. Merlo

Home Team

21 Mar

Dep. Merlo

0 : 4

San Martin Burzaco

14 Mar

Villa San Carlos

1 : 1

Dep. Merlo

04 Mar

Real Pilar

1 : 3

Dep. Merlo

27 Feb

Dep. Merlo

0 : 0

UAI Urquiza

22 Feb

Villa Dalmine

0 : 1

Dep. Merlo

Excursionistas

Away Team

28 Mar

Excursionistas

1 : 0

Brown Adrogue

21 Mar

Deportivo Armenio

0 : 2

Excursionistas

14 Mar

Excursionistas

2 : 0

Flandria

04 Mar

Excursionistas

1 : 0

Defensores Unidos

28 Feb

Comunicaciones

1 : 1

Excursionistas

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Excursionistas	6	5	1	0	9:2	16
2	Arsenal Sarandi	7	4	2	1	13:4	14
3	Villa Dalmine	7	4	2	1	7:2	14
4	Argentino de Merlo	6	4	1	1	7:2	13
5	Real Pilar	6	4	0	2	9:7	12
6	Talleres Remedios Escalada	6	3	2	1	5:2	11
7	Sportivo Italiano	6	3	2	1	6:4	11
8	Deportivo Camioneros	7	3	2	2	6:5	11
9	Comunicaciones	7	3	2	2	5:5	11
10	San Martin Burzaco	6	2	3	1	11:5	9
11	UAI Urquiza	7	1	6	0	5:3	9
12	Dep. Merlo	6	2	2	2	6:8	8
13	CSD Liniers	6	2	1	3	5:8	7
14	Laferrere	7	2	1	4	7:13	7
15	Argentino de Quilmes	6	1	3	2	4:5	6
16	Flandria	7	2	0	5	6:11	6
17	Brown Adrogue	6	1	3	2	3:8	6
18	Dock Sud	6	1	2	3	5:6	5
19	Villa San Carlos	7	1	2	4	7:10	5
20	Deportivo Armenio	7	1	1	5	4:10	4
21	Defensores Unidos	6	0	3	3	4:7	3
22	Ituzaingo	7	0	3	4	3:10	3

Match Preview: Dep. Merlo vs Excursionistas

Fans of Primera B turn their attention to the clash involving Dep. Merlo and Excursionistas. Scheduled for Sunday, February 15, 2026 at 23:00 UTC, the match will take place at Jose Manuel Moreno Stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Dep. Merlo will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Excursionistas aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

Previous meetings between these two sides often provide context for what to expect. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Dep. Merlo will try to assert dominance early, whereas Excursionistas might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Dep. Merlo or Excursionistas. Momentum is crucial in Primera B, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.