Bulgaria vs Turkey Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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World

World Cup 2026 National Stadium Vasil Levski

Scoring Trends

Bulgaria

Turkey

0.63

Goals Scored

2.63

3.25

Goals Conceded

1.63

1.13 Expected Goals (xG) 2.94

100%

Over 1.5

88%

100%

Over 2.5

88%

50%

Over 3.5

63%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Turkey enter this game as clear favorites to control the proceedings. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The visitors have been efficient on the road, making an away win a strong possibility. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win23%

Draw20%

Away Win57%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score52%

Over 1.5 Goals77%

Over 2.5 Goals58%

Match Events

11'

Guler A.

Assist: Calhanoglu H.

13'

Kirilov R.

Assist: Despodov K.

42'

Bozhinov R.

Previous Encounters

15 Nov 25 WOR

Turkey ✓

2:0

Bulgaria

11 Oct 25 WOR

Bulgaria

1:6

✓ Turkey

08 Jun 15 FRI

Turkey ✓

4:0

Bulgaria

29 May 12 FRI

Bulgaria

0:2

✓ Turkey

17 Aug 05 FRI

Bulgaria ✓

3:1

Turkey

Recent Form (Last 5)

Bulgaria

Home Team

18 Nov

Bulgaria

2 : 1

Georgia

15 Nov

Turkey

2 : 0

Bulgaria

14 Oct

Spain

4 : 0

Bulgaria

11 Oct

Bulgaria

1 : 6

Turkey

07 Sept

Georgia

3 : 0

Bulgaria

Turkey

Away Team

18 Nov

Spain

2 : 2

Turkey

15 Nov

Turkey

2 : 0

Bulgaria

14 Oct

Turkey

4 : 1

Georgia

11 Oct

Bulgaria

1 : 6

Turkey

07 Sept

Turkey

0 : 6

Spain

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0

Match Preview: Bulgaria vs Turkey

Bulgaria welcomes Turkey for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in World Cup 2026. Scheduled for Saturday, October 11, 2025 at 18:45 UTC, the match will take place at National Stadium Vasil Levski. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Bulgaria will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Turkey aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Bulgaria and Turkey are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Bulgaria will try to assert dominance early, whereas Turkey might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Bulgaria or Turkey. Momentum is crucial in World Cup 2026, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.