Azerbaijan vs France Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

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World

World Cup 2026 Tofiq Bahramov Stadium

Scoring Trends

Azerbaijan

France

0.38

Goals Scored

2.75

2.13

Goals Conceded

0.69 Expected Goals (xG) 2.44

88%

Over 1.5

100%

50%

Over 2.5

75%

13%

Over 3.5

38%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

France enter this game as clear favorites to control the proceedings. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. The visitors have been efficient on the road, making an away win a strong possibility. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win18%

Draw15%

Away Win67%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score42%

Over 1.5 Goals82%

Over 2.5 Goals58%

Match Events

Dadashov R.

Assist: Dashdamirov R.

17'

Mateta J.

Assist: Gusto M.

24'

Nkunku C.

Previous Encounters

16 Nov 25 WOR

Azerbaijan

1:3

✓ France

10 Oct 25 WOR

France ✓

3:0

Azerbaijan

05 Sept 95 EUR

France ✓

10:0

Azerbaijan

12 Dec 94 EUR

Azerbaijan

0:2

✓ France

Recent Form (Last 5)

Azerbaijan

Home Team

16 Nov

Azerbaijan

1 : 3

France

13 Nov

Azerbaijan

0 : 2

Iceland

13 Oct

Ukraine

2 : 1

Azerbaijan

10 Oct

France

3 : 0

Azerbaijan

09 Sept

Azerbaijan

1 : 1

Ukraine

France

Away Team

16 Nov

Azerbaijan

1 : 3

France

13 Nov

France

4 : 0

Ukraine

13 Oct

Iceland

2 : 2

France

10 Oct

France

3 : 0

Azerbaijan

09 Sept

France

2 : 1

Iceland

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	L	GD	Pts
1	Germany	6	5	1	16:3	15
2	Slovakia	6	4	2	6:8	12
3	Northern Ireland	6	3	3	7:6	9
4	Luxembourg	6	0	6	1:13	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Switzerland	6	4	2	0	14:2	14
2	Kosovo	6	3	2	1	6:5	11
3	Slovenia	6	0	4	2	3:8	4
4	Sweden	6	0	2	4	4:12	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Scotland	6	4	1	1	13:7	13
2	Denmark	6	3	2	1	16:7	11
3	Greece	6	2	1	3	10:12	7
4	Belarus	6	0	2	4	4:17	2

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	France	6	5	1	0	16:4	16
2	Ukraine	6	3	1	2	10:11	10
3	Iceland	6	2	1	3	13:11	7
4	Azerbaijan	6	0	1	5	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Spain	6	5	1	0	21:2	16
2	Turkey	6	4	1	1	17:12	13
3	Georgia	6	1	0	5	7:15	3
4	Bulgaria	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Portugal	6	4	1	1	20:7	13
2	Ireland	6	3	1	2	9:7	10
3	Hungary	6	2	2	2	11:10	8
4	Armenia	6	1	0	5	3:19	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Netherlands	8	6	2	0	27:4	20
2	Poland	8	5	2	1	14:7	17
3	Finland	8	3	1	4	8:14	10
4	Malta	8	1	2	5	4:19	5
5	Lithuania	8	0	3	5	6:15	3

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Austria	8	6	1	1	22:4	19
2	Bosnia & Herzegovina	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
3	Romania	8	4	1	3	19:10	13
4	Cyprus	8	2	2	4	11:11	8
5	San Marino	8	0	0	8	2:39	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Norway	8	8	0	0	37:5	24
2	Italy	8	6	0	2	21:12	18
3	Israel	8	4	0	4	19:20	12
4	Estonia	8	1	1	6	8:21	4
5	Moldova	8	0	1	7	5:32	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Belgium	8	5	3	0	29:7	18
2	Wales	8	5	1	2	21:11	16
3	North Macedonia	8	3	4	1	13:10	13
4	Kazakhstan	8	2	2	4	9:13	8
5	Liechtenstein	8	0	0	8	0:31	0

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	England	8	8	0	0	22:0	24
2	Albania	8	4	2	2	7:5	14
3	Serbia	8	4	1	3	9:10	13
4	Latvia	8	1	2	5	5:15	5
5	Andorra	8	0	1	7	3:16	1

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Croatia	8	7	1	0	26:4	22
2	Czech Republic	8	5	1	2	18:8	16
3	Faroe Islands	8	4	0	4	11:9	12
4	Montenegro	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
5	Gibraltar	8	0	0	8	3:28	0

Match Preview: Azerbaijan vs France

Azerbaijan welcomes France for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in World Cup 2026. Scheduled for Sunday, November 16, 2025 at 17:00 UTC, the match will take place at Tofiq Bahramov Stadium. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Azerbaijan will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while France aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Azerbaijan and France are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Azerbaijan will try to assert dominance early, whereas France might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Ultimately, this fixture carries weight for the season's broader narrative. Momentum is crucial in World Cup 2026, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.