Alacranes de Durango vs Leones Negros 2 Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Mexico

Liga Premier Serie A Estadio Francisco Zarco

Scoring Trends

Alacranes de Durango

Leones Negros 2

2.38

Goals Scored

1.88

0.25

Goals Conceded

1.69 Expected Goals (xG) 1.06

63%

Over 1.5

75%

50%

Over 2.5

63%

25%

Over 3.5

38%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Alacranes de Durango hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. The game flow could swing back and forth as teams find their rhythm.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. With teams so evenly matched, the draw offers significant statistical value. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win53%

Draw15%

Away Win32%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score49%

Over 1.5 Goals78%

Over 2.5 Goals58%

Match Events

58'

Valenzuela A.

Previous Encounters

17 Feb 26 LIG

Alacranes de Durango ✓

1:0

Leones Negros 2

27 Sept 25 LIG

Leones Negros 2

0:2

✓ Alacranes de Durango

25 Jan 25 LIG

Alacranes de Durango ✓

2:1

Leones Negros 2

21 Sept 24 LIG

Leones Negros 2

0:0

Alacranes de Durango

13 Apr 24 LIG

Leones Negros 2

1:2

✓ Alacranes de Durango

Recent Form (Last 5)

Alacranes de Durango

Home Team

04 Apr

Alacranes de Durango

3 : 1

Reboceros de La Piedad

28 Mar

Cimarrones de Sonora

0 : 0

Alacranes de Durango

21 Mar

Alacranes de Durango

6 : 0

Ensenada FC

15 Mar

Zapotlanejo

0 : 3

Alacranes de Durango

07 Mar

Alacranes de Durango

3 : 0

UA Zacatecas

Leones Negros 2

Away Team

27 Mar

Tecos

0 : 2

Leones Negros 2

21 Mar

Leones Negros 2

2 : 1

Guerreros de Autlan

14 Mar

Mineros de Fresnillo

3 : 1

Leones Negros 2

07 Mar

Leones Negros 2

2 : 1

Cimarrones de Sonora

01 Mar

Ensenada FC

1 : 4

Leones Negros 2

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Alacranes de Durango	25	20	2	3	69:15	71
2	Tigres de Alica	25	16	3	6	44:25	52
3	Cimarrones de Sonora	25	14	7	4	42:19	50
4	Leones Negros 2	25	15	2	8	41:26	50
5	Tritones Vallarta	25	15	1	9	32:26	46
6	Tecos	25	13	4	8	45:33	45
7	Mineros de Fresnillo	25	11	4	10	39:39	39
8	Los Cabos United	25	11	3	11	37:38	37
9	Guerreros de Autlan	25	8	5	12	38:39	32
10	Ensenada FC	25	8	2	15	29:51	28
11	UA Zacatecas	25	7	4	14	28:48	26
12	Zapotlanejo	25	6	1	18	39:69	21
13	Reboceros de La Piedad	25	6	1	18	36:66	20
14	Colima FC	25	4	3	18	23:48	17

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Apodaca	25	21	2	2	47:18	66
2	FC Santiago	25	13	7	5	37:21	47
3	Zacatepec	25	12	8	5	29:14	45
4	Halcones de Zapopan	25	11	6	8	44:26	44
5	Calor De San Pedro	25	11	7	7	33:25	41
6	Gavilanes de Matamoros	25	11	5	9	30:22	41
7	Lobos ULMX	25	11	6	8	32:24	40
8	Correcaminos 2	25	8	7	10	26:25	33
9	Chilpancingo	25	8	8	9	31:40	32
10	Cordobes FC	25	7	6	12	26:30	26
11	CS Canamy	25	5	8	12	33:47	26
12	Zitacuaro	25	5	10	10	21:31	25
13	Ciervos	25	4	4	17	19:48	18
14	Atletico Hidalgo	25	4	4	17	22:59	16

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Racing de Veracruz	23	20	3	0	50:9	68
2	Deportiva Venados	23	14	4	5	54:24	49
3	Celaya	23	12	3	8	41:31	42
4	Inter Playa Del Carmen	24	13	4	7	35:28	42
5	Tapachula	23	12	0	11	47:35	41
6	Montaneses	23	12	2	9	35:27	38
7	Pioneros	23	10	2	11	34:34	34
8	Jaguares De Chiapas	23	9	3	11	32:31	33
9	Heroes de Zaci	23	9	2	12	32:46	31
10	Chapulineros	23	5	7	11	20:32	22
11	Canoneros FC	23	7	1	15	25:44	22
12	Neza FC	23	5	2	16	24:66	19
13	Dragones Toluca	23	4	3	16	21:43	17

Match Preview: Alacranes de Durango vs Leones Negros 2

The upcoming fixture between Alacranes de Durango and Leones Negros 2 promises to be an engaging encounter in Liga Premier Serie A. Scheduled for Tuesday, February 17, 2026 at 02:00 UTC, the match will take place at Estadio Francisco Zarco. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

The context of this match is defined by the current standings and the ambitions of both squads. Alacranes de Durango will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Leones Negros 2 aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Alacranes de Durango and Leones Negros 2 are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

Tactically, this game could be decided in the midfield battles. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Alacranes de Durango will try to assert dominance early, whereas Leones Negros 2 might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

The match atmosphere is expected to be electric, and tracking the game minute-by-minute adds to the excitement. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Beyond the scoreline, the match statistics will tell the deeper story of the performance. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Alacranes de Durango or Leones Negros 2. Momentum is crucial in Liga Premier Serie A, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.