Ajax vs Benfica Expected Goals (xG), Forecast & Details

Sport Picks

Europe

Champions League Johan Cruijff Arena

Scoring Trends

Ajax

Benfica

1.75

Goals Scored

1.5

1.25

Goals Conceded

1.38 Expected Goals (xG) 1.38

88%

Over 1.5

75%

63%

Over 2.5

75%

50%

Over 3.5

13%

Detailed Analysis

Explore Head-to-Head and Form below for more insights.

Expert Analysis by Omoye ThankGod

Benfica hold a slight statistical advantage, though this match remains competitive. Recent suggest an open game with likely chances at both ends.

Their head-to-head record shows a history of competitive battles. Scoring trends strongly favor an Over 2.5 Goals match. The numbers provide a solid foundation for this match outlook.

Possible Outcome Probability

Match Winner

Home Win30%

Draw28%

Away Win42%

Goals & Scoring

Both Teams to Score54%

Over 1.5 Goals88%

Over 2.5 Goals60%

Match Events

Dahl S.

Assist: Rios R.

60'

Sub

Wijndal O. In: Mokio J.

Out: Wijndal O.

69'

Weghorst W.

Previous Encounters

25 Nov 25 CHA

Ajax

0:2

✓ Benfica

15 Mar 22 CHA

Ajax

0:1

✓ Benfica

23 Feb 22 CHA

Benfica

2:2

Ajax

07 Nov 18 CHA

Benfica

1:1

Ajax

23 Oct 18 CHA

Ajax ✓

1:0

Benfica

Recent Form (Last 5)

Ajax

Home Team

25 Mar

Ajax

2 : 2

FC Volendam

22 Mar

Feyenoord

1 : 1

Ajax

14 Mar

Ajax

4 : 0

Sparta Rotterdam

07 Mar

Groningen

3 : 1

Ajax

01 Mar

Zwolle

0 : 0

Ajax

Benfica

Away Team

21 Mar

Benfica

3 : 0

Vitoria Guimaraes

14 Mar

Arouca

1 : 2

Benfica

08 Mar

Benfica

2 : 2

FC Porto

02 Mar

Gil Vicente

1 : 2

Benfica

25 Feb

Real Madrid

2 : 1

Benfica

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	8	8	0	0	23:4	24
2	Bayern Munich	8	7	0	1	22:8	21
3	Liverpool	8	6	0	2	20:8	18
4	Tottenham	8	5	2	1	17:7	17
5	Barcelona	8	5	1	2	22:14	16
6	Chelsea	8	5	1	2	17:10	16
7	Sporting CP	8	5	1	2	17:11	16
8	Manchester City	8	5	1	2	15:9	16
9	Real Madrid	8	5	0	3	21:12	15
10	Inter	8	5	0	3	15:7	15
11	PSG	8	4	2	2	21:11	14
12	Newcastle Utd	8	4	2	2	17:7	14
13	Juventus	8	3	4	1	14:10	13
14	Atl. Madrid	8	4	1	3	17:15	13
15	Atalanta	8	4	1	3	10:10	13
16	Bayer Leverkusen	8	3	3	2	13:14	12
17	Dortmund	8	3	2	3	19:17	11
18	Olympiacos Piraeus	8	3	2	3	10:14	11
19	Club Brugge	8	3	1	4	15:17	10
20	Galatasaray	8	3	1	4	9:11	10
21	Monaco	8	2	4	2	8:14	10
22	Qarabag Agdam	8	3	1	4	13:21	10
23	Bodo/Glimt	8	2	3	3	14:15	9
24	Benfica	8	3	0	5	10:12	9
25	Marseille	8	3	0	5	11:14	9
26	Pafos	8	2	3	3	8:11	9
27	Royale Union SG	8	3	0	5	8:17	9
28	PSV	8	2	2	4	16:16	8
29	Ath Bilbao	8	2	2	4	9:14	8
30	Napoli	8	2	2	4	9:15	8
31	FC Copenhagen	8	2	2	4	12:21	8
32	Ajax	8	2	0	6	8:21	6
33	Eintracht Frankfurt	8	1	1	6	10:21	4
34	Slavia Prague	8	0	3	5	5:19	3
35	Villarreal	8	0	1	7	5:18	1
36	Kairat Almaty	8	0	1	7	7:22	1

Match Preview: Ajax vs Benfica

Ajax welcomes Benfica for what is shaping up to be a crucial match in Champions League. Scheduled for Tuesday, November 25, 2025 at 17:45 UTC, the match will take place at Johan Cruijff Arena. Both sides will be looking to make their mark in this scheduled event.

Team Context & Standings

Entering this game, both Ajax and Benfica are focused on their respective objectives for the season. Ajax will look to leverage their competitive standing to gain an advantage, while Benfica aims to improve their league position with a positive result on the road.

Head-to-Head & History

History suggests that matches between Ajax and Benfica are competitively fought. While past results offer a glimpse into tactical matchups, this fresh encounter brings new dynamics. The teams have their own recent history to draw upon as they prepare tactically.

Tactical Overview

The flow of the match will likely depend on which team settles into their rhythm first. Control of possession, defensive discipline, and clinical finishing in the final third are expected to be the deciding factors. Ajax will try to assert dominance early, whereas Benfica might look for opportunities on the break or through set-pieces.

Following the Match

For those following the action, staying updated is key. From the first whistle to the final moments, fans can follow every goal, momentum shift, and key event as the drama unfolds on the pitch.

Key Statistics

Modern football is often defined by the underlying numbers. Expect close scrutiny on metrics such as shots on target, possession percentages, and corner counts. These figures will illustrate which team effectively controlled the tempo and created the most dangerous chances.

Why This Matters

Three points here could be pivotal for the ambitions of either Ajax or Benfica. Momentum is crucial in Champions League, and a victory in this match would serve as a significant morale booster for the winning side moving forward in the campaign.